Global trade affects stock markets in several straightforward ways:
Economic Growth and Company Profits:
When countries trade with each other, they can grow their economies faster. This growth means companies can make more money, which is good for their stocks. Companies that sell products or services internationally can see their profits rise when global trade increases.
Currency Changes:
When currencies like the dollar, euro, or yen go up or down in value, it can impact trade. A stronger currency can make a country's exports (goods sold to other countries) more expensive, which can hurt companies that rely on selling abroad. On the other hand, a weaker currency can make exports cheaper and boost profits for exporting companies.
Trade Rules and Taxes:
Governments can change the rules of trade or add taxes (called tariffs). These changes can make it more expensive for companies to import goods or sell products overseas. When tariffs go up, it can reduce profits for companies and make investors worried, which can lower stock prices.
Global Events:
Big events like economic downturns, wars, or health crises can shake up global trade and stock markets. For example, if many countries are struggling economically, it can reduce demand for products, leading to lower company profits and stock market drops.
Financial Connections:
Trade and financial markets are closely linked. When things change in financial markets, like interest rates going up or down, it can affect how companies trade and make money. If borrowing money becomes more expensive (higher interest rates), it can slow down business and hurt stocks.
In simple terms, global trade impacts stock markets because it affects how much money companies can make, the cost of doing business internationally, government rules on trade, major world events, and changes in financial markets. All these factors can make stock prices go up or down.