Module 1: Foundations of Systematic Trading
- Introduction to Systematic Trading:
- What is a trading system?
- Advantages of systematic trading over discretionary trading (objectivity, consistency, backtesting).
- Different types of trading systems (trend-following, mean-reversion, arbitrage, etc.).
- The trading system development lifecycle.
- Understanding Market Data:
- Types of market data (price, volume, open interest, etc.).
- Data sources and APIs.
- Data cleaning and preprocessing.
- Timeframes and their impact on trading systems.
- Basic Statistical Concepts for Trading:
- Mean, standard deviation, variance.
- Distributions (normal, skewed).
- Correlation and covariance.
- Introduction to probability and risk.
Module 2: Technical Analysis for System Development
- Core Technical Indicators:
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA).
- Momentum Indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator).
- Volatility Indicators (Bollinger Bands, ATR).
- Volume Indicators (On-Balance Volume, Volume Price Trend).
- Chart Patterns and Their Systematic Application:
- Identifying and codifying chart patterns for entry and exit signals.
- Combining chart patterns with technical indicators.
- Price Action Analysis for System Rules:
- Identifying key price levels (support, resistance).
- Candlestick patterns and their interpretation in a systematic context.
- Developing Rules-Based Trading Logic:
- Translating technical analysis concepts into specific, testable rules.
- Defining entry and exit criteria.
- Setting stop-loss and take-profit levels systematically.
Module 3: Building the Trading System
- Defining System Objectives and Parameters:
- Identifying the target market and timeframe.
- Setting realistic profit targets and risk tolerance.
- Determining capital allocation per trade.
- Developing Entry and Exit Rules:
- Combining multiple indicators and conditions for robust signals.
- Implementing different order types (market, limit, stop).
- Implementing Position Sizing Strategies:
- Fixed fractional, fixed ratio, Kelly criterion (introduction).
- Risk-based position sizing.
- Incorporating Risk Management:
- Setting maximum risk per trade and per day.
- Using stop-loss orders effectively.
- Managing drawdowns.
Module 4: Backtesting and Performance Evaluation
- Introduction to Backtesting:
- The importance of backtesting.
- Choosing appropriate backtesting software or tools (Python libraries, dedicated platforms).
- Data requirements and potential biases.
- Setting Up a Robust Backtesting Framework:
- Defining clear backtesting parameters.
- Handling slippage and commission costs.
- Avoiding look-ahead bias.
- Analyzing Backtesting Results:
- Key performance metrics: win rate, average win/loss ratio, profit factor, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio.
- Interpreting performance reports and identifying strengths and weaknesses.
- Statistical significance of backtesting results.
- Curve Fitting and Over-Optimization:
- Understanding the dangers of optimizing parameters too closely to historical data.
- Techniques to mitigate over-optimization (walk-forward testing, out-of-sample testing).
Module 5: System Implementation and Automation
- Choosing a Brokerage Platform with API Access:
- Understanding API capabilities for automated trading.
- Factors to consider when selecting a broker.
- Introduction to Algorithmic Trading:
- Basic programming concepts for trading (Python is often preferred).
- Libraries for data analysis and trading (e.g., Pandas, NumPy, TA-Lib, backtrader, MetaTrader).
- Developing simple trading bots.
- Manual vs. Automated Execution:
- Advantages and disadvantages of each approach.
- Setting up alerts and notifications for manual execution.
- Order Management and Execution Strategies:
- Understanding different order types and their use in automated systems.
- Managing order flow and potential execution issues.
Module 6: System Monitoring and Adaptation
- Live Trading Considerations:
- Psychological aspects of live trading.
- Dealing with unexpected market events.
- Managing emotions and sticking to the system.
- Performance Monitoring and Tracking:
- Setting up real-time performance dashboards.
- Tracking key metrics in a live environment.
- System Maintenance and Adjustment:
- Identifying when a system is no longer performing as expected.
- The process of re-evaluating and potentially modifying system rules.
- Adapting to changing market conditions.
- Continuous Learning and Improvement:
- Staying updated with market trends and new research.
- The importance of a trading journal.